Spain polls say a right-wing coalition is coming

Can Sánchez (PSOE) and Díaz (Sumar) shift the vote by five points in five weeks?

If we grab the latest polling figures in Spain, back to the start of 2023, from the list on Electocracia and put them into Excel to calculate a 10-poll rolling average, we get the image above. The Sumar/Podemos line is first Podemos, then Podemos plus Sumar after Diaz’s announcement in April, and now just Sumar after what was left of Podemos gave up and bent the knee to the new Queen of the far-left. Ciudadanos is not included because they also gave up.